Champions League · resolved market
Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb65e95414c05fcb68fde103293b70165d0fbc0758cc81fd4e843f5c9a3cfa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 9,655$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.41 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 38c | 9,552$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.42 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 64c | 6,227$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 5,893$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.24 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 4,190$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.35 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 63c | 3,799$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.34 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 58c | 3,000$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 37c | 2,702$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Over | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over | 64c | 1,559$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 63c | 1,500$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 600$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 64c | 501.47$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 476.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 64c | 360.6$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 64c | 354.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 63c | 319.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 250.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e9…7b20backed Over | 70c | 230.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 72c | 196.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 62c | 170.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 62c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 64c | 146.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 61c | 141.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…a2a5backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 85.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 36c | 78.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 36c | 61.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 64c | 60.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 46.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 32c | 44.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Over | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 62c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 64c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 70c | 33.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Over | 64c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1a78backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.