TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under60c56,476$33,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,605.262475%18 W · 6 L+6.3wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c20,740$8,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,29646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,912$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.021,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c4,394$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.61,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over53c2,246$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.716852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.674759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6155745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0238253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over57c1,086$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0234342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over60c984.8$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.882748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c836.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.2159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over42c790.1$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.846259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over40c724.43$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.713135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over42c716.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2874334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over41c664.87$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.63345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under60c664$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.610845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over40c500.11$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9813931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa243…6080backed Over41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16044955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c352.61$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.69653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over40c349.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9917251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over40c349.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Over42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under58c286.13$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.181855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over40c280$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11213453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c253.6$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over21c252.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.215936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over42c231.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.155123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over40c229.85$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9411449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e9…7b20backed Over72c210.47$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over40c190$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7613252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over40c186.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5816753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over29c173.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over41c172.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over40c159.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6511548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over41c144.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.439841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over41c132.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.515543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over41c121.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over33c117$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5829142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa41…f05dbacked Over41c101.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c95.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over35c88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.822356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Over42c82.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.686952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under60c80.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3513149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304233.3%14 W · 28 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over41c74.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f2…0546backed Over41c60.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.