Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359353d884fb2244bce4383f4aa79ada3fd66c5e3135563478a77617f8cd7802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.95 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 5,357$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 73c | 3,506$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 37c | 2,606$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Under | 21c | 2,380$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…9a1dbacked Over | 64c | 1,894$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 39c | 1,539$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,296$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 926.75$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 57c | 888$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 709.76$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.25 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 618.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.07 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 555$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 546.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 14c | 504.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 459.74$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 428.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 56c | 362.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 57c | 353.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 17c | 318.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Under | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 8c | 299.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 61c | 281.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 56c | 275$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…2fcabacked Under | 54c | 156.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Over | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 67c | 81.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 74.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 68.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e3b8backed Over | 57c | 57.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 51.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 31c | 45.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…42bbbacked Under | 45c | 43.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 40.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 45c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 58c | 30.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 56c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…e7bbbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…e370backed Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 56c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 58c | 22.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Over | 57c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…410bbacked Over | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.