Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721c05bee4d70410492558845af81c6672402084b683efa65e8012e053aeda13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 20,160$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,199.75 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 8,200$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 64c | 4,870$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 2,625$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.64 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 58c | 2,351$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.07 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 1,908$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.84 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.97 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 62c | 1,597$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 49c | 1,310$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 778.91$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 58c | 551.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 60c | 509.18$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 58c | 499.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 348.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…e3aebacked Under | 43c | 342.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 57c | 265$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 58c | 255.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Over | 60c | 251.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 43c | 222.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 59c | 222.03$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…a6e7backed Over | 58c | 198.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 42c | 195.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…a488backed Over | 58c | 146.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 38c | 120.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 43c | 115.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 59c | 115.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8f…62a9backed Under | 28c | 108.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 108.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 43c | 106.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 59c | 105.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 40c | 92.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Over | 58c | 80.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 75cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Over | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 63c | 60.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 38c | 53.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 58c | 51.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Over | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 43c | 48.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 40c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0406…c5b3backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Over | 59c | 36.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 59c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 56c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 45c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 23.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 62c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.