Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c04db075afca138a72be069a85789cde566f25e0a523f1be4d6965a91b5bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,937$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 1,862$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.31 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,434$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.85 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 1,333$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.9 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Over | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 855.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 50c | 604.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 44c | 359$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 80c | 351.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 20c | 338.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 80c | 250.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 79c | 160.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 42c | 128.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 48c | 111.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 41c | 109.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 105.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 55c | 81.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 69.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 56c | 53.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 48.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 54c | 48.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 77c | 29.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Over | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 45c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.