Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a222ae9217e4373c31b469e53e054410d1d7a7612816f33fe505589abb8c72a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 29c | 10,344$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.75 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 9,012$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 73c | 5,613$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 1,969$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 1,357$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Over | 72c | 966.62$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Over | 64c | 900.6$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 26c | 763.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 66c | 609.55$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 28c | 555$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 35c | 492.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 63c | 325$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Over | 67c | 210.71$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 33c | 192.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 71c | 137.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 29c | 112.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 29c | 88.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 41.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 66c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 72c | 34.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…f849backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 73c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 41c | 25.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 72c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.