Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42e376b0d30812710308443a6fcb976ecb0937d3fec4d00304e943ad6a57fef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Under | 54c | 6,986$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.7 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 50c | 5,999$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.72 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 3,149$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.15 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 1,394$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 48c | 961.54$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 847.46$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 662.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 50c | 594$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 49c | 521.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 44c | 372.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 49c | 222$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 151.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 73c | 147.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 23c | 127.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 27c | 111.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 38c | 97.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 47c | 97.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Under | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 53.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…7a51backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 50c | 49.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 33c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 65c | 45.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Over | 47c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 39.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…adb6backed Under | 51c | 36.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 31c | 35.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…7c0fbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 50c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 33c | 32.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 52c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.