TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over41c112,020$45,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,091.843164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under59c48,800$28,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,7921233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c21,716$12,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,942.362,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c10,041$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,920.4452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under59c4,401$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.552850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over41c4,153$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.125550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7704040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7708251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c2,766$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.8398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c1,855$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.511,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under59c1,828$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.5222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under59c1,229$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c1,100$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63813137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under46c1,042$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under58c1,012$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2956949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over78c437.04$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c423.01$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under57c407.55$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under59c378$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.024535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under59c360$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.416851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under59c353.96$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8416448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under59c350$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1778948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17712253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over41c283.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16731441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under59c280$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.513152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under58c238.09$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under59c225$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7513550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over42c201.36$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.797254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.38148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.312453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.310952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.37746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under64c168.19$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.642347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over42c167$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under59c160$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.56145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3433144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over42c141$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7817651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over47c134.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.318863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c129.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under58c128.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.89445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.811551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.89252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.88550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under59c113.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under58c104$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over42c101.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.546851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…9652backed Over42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.998439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over30c97.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3718055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2515259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd0d…60d5backed Over78c72.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over64c66.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9111460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x680f…3c09backed Over42c63.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.48552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.48151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c59.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c50.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.