Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x042c2871e3224eb3cfbf886124407bdcac54fa08605517c7294f793a7a0290f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 68c | 9,122$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 5,284$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 69c | 3,102$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.62 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 2,125$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.36 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,097$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 68c | 397.14$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 63c | 317.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 279.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 32c | 140.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 103.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 68c | 88.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 67.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 43.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 31c | 36.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 68c | 29.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.