Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893dfc61913d292f89d4d35fde1e299118dc2cfb79a070e9f0cdb9e94ca4eaaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,522$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,041$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed No | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 51c | 536$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 459.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 308.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 19c | 308$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 57c | 238.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 57c | 228.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Yes | 39c | 202.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 67c | 83.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 81.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 45c | 33.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 32.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.