Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d4035ee048a15fa306ef73d8696b74de9867816090d5191e1f733da1096fd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 2,701$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 9c | 999.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 881.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.88 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 9c | 666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 78c | 401.54$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 17c | 358.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 314.55$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 65c | 301.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Over | 10c | 171.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 62c | 142.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…cb95backed Over | 63c | 127.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 113.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 61c | 87.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 57.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 51.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.