Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25543099197ab64b2831f24ec3c74edd93adf1045ef288004ef3dfc7c68c139f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 57c | 17,434$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 4,110$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.59 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 43c | 2,462$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.09 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 2,277$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.11 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 29c | 1,070$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 610.17$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 569.86$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 58c | 563.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 270.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 212.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 117.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 44c | 56.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 55c | 41.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Over | 56c | 31.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 58c | 27.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 44c | 25.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 43c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…e55bbacked Over | 55c | 22.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)NAC Breda won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)NAC Breda won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.