Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c05e08ae03b692b5d7be864d28f57e34b06e3ed8d26e67eaa15843cab4f3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAC Bredaof Feyenoord Rotterdam, NAC Breda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed NAC Breda | 71c | 2,760$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NAC Breda | 74c | 1,311$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Feyenoord Rotterdam | 25c | 1,249$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 28c | 464.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed NAC Breda | 72c | 172.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…ec06backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed NAC Breda | 72c | 159.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed NAC Breda | 72c | 70.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked NAC Breda | 72c | 61.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…c4d0backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…4a15backed Feyenoord Rotterdam | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed NAC Breda | 73c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)this page
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)NAC Breda won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.