TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No36c35,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.9917248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes64c20,001$12,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,200.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes64c14,031$8,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,051.2610438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes70c3,700$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1108243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c1,984$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.111,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No11c1,883$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.249134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes66c1,324$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.0630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No28c949.9$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.974740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No30c843.66$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.112648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c819.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes70c717.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.582748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No34c690.67$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.839028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes70c566.64$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.512133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes67c562.69$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.693565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No33c500.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes69c474.28$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.652030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12423762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No13c380$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.514854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No21c243.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1921842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No35c232$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.255941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.277361.6%45 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No33c219.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes69c215.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.549966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes69c207.58$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.359549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282015%3 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes77c193.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1819652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No32c187.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0535054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed Yes64c181$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f1…139ebacked Yes69c175.02$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes68c172$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.328241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f8…916cbacked Yes67c153.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2511427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No27c149.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes68c145.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.913043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No34c141.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes67c134.83$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.827541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes70c134.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.012161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes70c123.46$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8616250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No35c116$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.311346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.320949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.39247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No33c109.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2920250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3422740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes64c99.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7542458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed No34c96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.643548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No27c90.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.249557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Yes75c88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.061747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes68c86.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7615062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed Yes70c85.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.512060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes68c80.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9914233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe706…6921backed Yes68c80.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed9d…9dbbbacked Yes70c77.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ca…fc4bbacked Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Yes66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes65c67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No32c60.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4524047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.147844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No32c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.619153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed No33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1521151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No34c54.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.698650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40eb…4e7ebacked Yes76c54.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes69c53.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.622536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.245259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No33c50.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8129053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed No32c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No32c47.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.49353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No33c46.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.419951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed No35c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes67c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ef3…2cd8backed Yes69c43.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56065%39 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4810040%40 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No31c41.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9911448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.610244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f1…a130backed Yes70c38.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…fa11backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.885752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed No34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.582334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed Yes70c36.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.913060%18 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No32c35.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2917648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No33c35.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.