Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c64d97e22438bd7fbc79d313282956cfd1f2836c6cc0b4b6c331a9b4582332

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,517 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No	59c	3,969$2,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.13	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No	51c	1,885$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.4	382	47.1%180 W · 202 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	37c	1,250$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.42	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes	48c	833.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	52c	600.01$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.76	919	50.9%468 W · 451 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes	47c	546.28$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.75	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Yes	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a18…4b83backed Yes	40c	396.79$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.73	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	15c	360.52$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No	51c	274.25$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.74	702	39.3%276 W · 426 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	50c	253.12$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.56	159	47.8%76 W · 83 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	1,022	47.5%485 W · 537 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes	40c	235.12$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.05	82	39%32 W · 50 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes	15c	230.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.35	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes	47c	211$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	15c	205.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.06	769	41.9%322 W · 447 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked No	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes	48c	179.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes	34c	156$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.98	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes	49c	153.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes	46c	119.57$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…facbbacked Yes	49c	117.09$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No	50c	109.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Yes	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	638	57.2%365 W · 273 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	154	59.1%91 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked No	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	53c	71.71$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	2,167	37.6%815 W · 1,352 L	+5.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes	46c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes	50c	64.58$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Yes	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes	47c	61.7$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	266	47.4%126 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa79…d773backed Yes	32c	61.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No	52c	51$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.48	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	135	54.1%73 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4c…8139backed Yes	50c	49.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed No	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69c…3613backed Yes	50c	40.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.44	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a5…ea0cbacked Yes	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	49c	39.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No	58c	32.95$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No	62c	32.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.45	189	40.2%76 W · 113 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa330…fa37backed Yes	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	45	75.6%34 W · 11 L	+7.3wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	50c	30.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	1,573	55.7%876 W · 697 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes	51c	25.49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	49c	25.49$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No	65c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb163…4129backed Yes	45c	24.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bb…281bbacked Yes	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes	48c	22.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No	50c	22.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	130	50%65 W · 65 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No	60c	21.7$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.73	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Yes	51c	21.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+4.5wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2a…f038backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ae…5c25backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x195d…2decbacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762f…5b38backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No	53c	19.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.02	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Under won
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Under won
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Under won
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)PAOK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event