Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x966d6f94a92479a9ddd40e4d7b769887335a5eacecf7f4acc292b53b472b43a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 14,675$9,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 68c | 1,435$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.62 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 63c | 1,043$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.32 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 31c | 992.48$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 69c | 841$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 655.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 33c | 406.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 34c | 368.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 23c | 360$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 32c | 296.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 237.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 69c | 198.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 33c | 182$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…fb33backed Over | 33c | 162.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 30c | 145.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 33c | 135.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…faa2backed Over | 33c | 127.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…a07abacked Under | 68c | 124.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Over | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 34c | 105.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 69c | 104.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 34c | 98.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Over | 36c | 86.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 34c | 75.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 37c | 65.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 52.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 31c | 46.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…a941backed Over | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…74c6backed Over | 37c | 38.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Over | 32c | 32.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 32.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 65c | 32.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Over | 32c | 31.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…509dbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 68c | 23.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 67c | 21.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 68c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.