TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1. FC Heidenheim 1846of Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,139 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c51,319$21,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,027.582055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c11,890$7,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.334144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8702759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0507057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184654c4,724$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.553,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c3,576$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.162853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23024258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c2,550$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.55349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c2,427$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.195549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c1,877$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.5717251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c1,700$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.8949143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60056547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen50c1,227$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.872,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184630c1,025$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.347532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4102065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184662c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804965.3%32 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4108764.4%56 W · 31 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c940$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.415453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen45c795.22$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.594643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c636$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c593$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.367345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20522854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20515454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c440.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.586465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1648461.9%52 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2496…94e7backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen80c373.33$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.66366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.58864.8%57 W · 31 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.514355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c320$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c304.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12312162.8%76 W · 45 L+15.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c288.77$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9535856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c280$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.812757.5%73 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c280$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.812657.9%73 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.58261%50 W · 32 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.513256.1%74 W · 58 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1846…6de1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184660c245$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen44c241.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412858.6%75 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.425659.4%152 W · 104 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen39c230.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904025%10 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c219.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c219$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7910855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.14650%23 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8211458.8%67 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8213957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8213859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8211259.8%67 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212458.9%73 W · 51 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826460.9%39 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8210360.2%62 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8212358.5%72 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8211661.2%71 W · 45 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c199.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c169.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.53148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen48c169.22$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.311,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c159.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.52850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen11c146$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c130$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.31030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen15c127.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184660c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+55.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211759.8%70 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.28154.3%44 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.213254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184626c116$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8444655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen39c115.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111063.6%70 W · 40 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c101.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.75742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4111360.2%68 W · 45 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416657.6%38 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419861.2%60 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419265.2%60 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FC Heidenheim 184661c94.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.131,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f21…e36bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen58c86.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen40c84.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.724641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86755.2%37 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75839.7%23 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c68.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184659c66.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.248252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen39c61.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184625c57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7516046.9%75 W · 85 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184663c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.561540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+120.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184660c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 1. FC Heidenheim 184627c49.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2428822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.