Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabfe83c6b68c3dc2b6d8617d925fb26f66dcd854e21f76dabc153e578138605a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Under | 54c | 67,818$36,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,621.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,400 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 5,826$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.08 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 2,820$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.65 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 2,109$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.04 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 2,081$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.74 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,078$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,876$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…ef6bbacked Under | 56c | 1,781$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,519$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.49 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 34c | 1,507$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.09 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 41c | 899.68$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 647.78$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 46c | 624.25$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 46c | 538.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 45c | 537.5$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 471.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.42 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 69c | 444.93$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 416.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 370.76$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 45c | 346.16$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…267ebacked Over | 59c | 332.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 47c | 320.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.84 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 46c | 306.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 59c | 288.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 54c | 226.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 45c | 205.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Under | 62c | 183.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 46c | 175.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…871fbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 46c | 101.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 99.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 61c | 85.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 46c | 71.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 64.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 62.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 55c | 58.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Over | 60c | 52.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 58c | 51.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 44c | 50.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…af81backed Over | 40c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 46c | 43.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 61c | 42.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 55c | 37.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 52c | 34.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0124backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 59c | 27.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 27.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…c574backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.