Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f4ca74ca30acbb8f19a2a0edd629f1d192a01270fe3271f8876becb9b763a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,126 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 64c | 10,391$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.43 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 4,690$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.83 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 2,612$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.18 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 34c | 1,821$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 1,525$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.37 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 56c | 1,147$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 32c | 1,032$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 60c | 923.33$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 33c | 923.29$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 36c | 880$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 37c | 823.74$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 32c | 821.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.42 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 68c | 804.76$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 63c | 799.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 32c | 669.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 657$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 67c | 537.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 519.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 445.59$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 438.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 36c | 376.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 36c | 371.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 36c | 277$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 258.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 64c | 235$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 34c | 191.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 66c | 171.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 68c | 153.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…d84abacked Under | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…1cafbacked Under | 37c | 144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 133.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…d0f5backed Under | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…0175backed Under | 36c | 117.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…12c4backed Under | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…a74bbacked Under | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…293ebacked Under | 14c | 110.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 106.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 64c | 101.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 67c | 98.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 36c | 96.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 36c | 90.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 68c | 75.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Under | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…5c65backed Over | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…14bebacked Over | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 34c | 57.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Over | 68c | 55.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…b607backed Over | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 38c | 53.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…02d7backed Over | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb062…4e72backed Over | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…cb71backed Over | 63c | 43.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 42.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…a7f2backed Over | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…5530backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…4b16backed Under | 38c | 38.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 68c | 36.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…7267backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…e3dabacked Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 39c | 34.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 33c | 34.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Under | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…50c3backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…5b37backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…75f0backed Over | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…1de0backed Over | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…9d32backed Over | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…7e78backed Over | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…7156backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 70c | 27.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…2718backed Over | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…4d87backed Over | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…1c7fbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…d78ebacked Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3c40backed Over | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…3264backed Over | 64c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.