La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc39e46c7f2f906be3ebb4d9aec7e8553643c7df11e6392aec8e64d2e7fc5eae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 7c | 15,941$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.63 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Yes | 11c | 4,731$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 5c | 4,340$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 14c | 3,888$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 14c | 3,387$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…ced2backed Yes | 19c | 1,813$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 1,801$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.21 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 80c | 1,694$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.7 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 14c | 1,517$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,461$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 13c | 1,458$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Yes | 13c | 1,414$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 13c | 1,379$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.83 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 13c | 1,378$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…a68abacked Yes | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 992.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.53 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 14c | 758.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 14c | 623.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 14c | 609.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 503.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 15c | 474.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 6c | 410$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…341dbacked Yes | 11c | 406.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 14c | 389.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 18c | 385.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…86dabacked Yes | 14c | 339.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 14c | 243.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 80c | 238.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 14c | 237.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes | 15c | 228.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb504…f1d0backed Yes | 19c | 215.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…b412backed Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 14c | 199.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3c48backed Yes | 17c | 190.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 14c | 189.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 158.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 147.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed Yes | 15c | 142.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 17c | 140.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…9eacbacked Yes | 14c | 137.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 132.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 14c | 123.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 20c | 115.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 14c | 104.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Yes | 13c | 102.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…73b6backed Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…0811backed Yes | 15c | 97.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 12c | 92.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 15c | 75.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.