Serie A · resolved market

US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf91e7cf82ad041b4fbd91b8d8ed05e660302506cf55eb6aab891a1f6db038444

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Over	46c	17,107$7,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,911.57	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	43c	14,595$6,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,366.45	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	54c	9,260$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000.4	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	55c	9,022$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,021.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	52c	7,392$3,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,576.78	310	51.6%160 W · 150 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	62c	3,405$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.8	1,981	39.8%788 W · 1,193 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	41c	3,290$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,935.55	342	39.2%134 W · 208 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	12c	2,519$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,217	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	55c	1,545$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.75	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	-14.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under	16c	1,000$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.84per pick	16cpaid	+525%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under	33c	959.49$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.18	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	54c	854.95$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.38	411	44.3%182 W · 229 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	24c	419.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.19	364	56.3%205 W · 159 L	+19.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	52c	405.79$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.9	274	53.3%146 W · 128 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	27c	399.99$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.99	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over	76c	394.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	24c	387.88$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.79	393	54.2%213 W · 180 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Over	24c	366$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over	76c	263.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f70…8634backed Over	72c	257.64$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	45c	253.89$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.89	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over	56c	252.25$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.22	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	54c	212.81$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.25	430	58.6%252 W · 178 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under	34c	199.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.99	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	74c	188.64$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.37	910	43.3%394 W · 516 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under	6c	172.16$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.16	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+146.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over	60c	170$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under	12c	166.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	11cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x494c…a2e3backed Over	57c	142$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	32c	141$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.63	467	42.8%200 W · 267 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over	63c	128.57$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over	33c	118.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	37c	117.13$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	225	45.3%102 W · 123 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over	65c	114.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.74	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	50c	110$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over	56c	108.93$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	64c	107.6$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.86	143	51%73 W · 70 L	-10.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	75c	106.38$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.79	418	54.8%229 W · 189 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	74cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over	46c	99.25$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	70c	94.03$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over	55c	93.44$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed Over	18c	93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	39c	84.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.27	317	38.8%123 W · 194 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0276…8454backed Under	60c	83.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	16c	76.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	76c	71.1$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	397	40.6%161 W · 236 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Over	73c	70$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	40	70%28 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	70cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over	52c	70$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-4.0wins	-0.34per pick	50cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under	56c	68.87$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.61	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over	58c	68.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Under	44c	67.68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Under	24c	66$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under	51c	65.2$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	24c	62.22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.29	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over	57c	61.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.25per pick	43cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	80c	60.9$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.72	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	46c	60.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over	28c	60$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over	76c	57.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	76cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	24c	57.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	159	46.5%74 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over	71c	56.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	34c	53.85$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.76	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+5.5wins	+0.32per pick	38cpaid	+93.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	74c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	112	68.8%77 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	32c	49.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	51c	45.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked Under	59c	42.07$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.25	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Under	37c	40$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	75c	37.24$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	153	54.2%83 W · 70 L	+11.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c68…0888backed Under	64c	35.94$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.94	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+92.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c9d…c024backed Over	71c	34.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+40%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca4…c4a5backed Over	44c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	64c	33.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	75	56%42 W · 33 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over	76c	32.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	31c	32.47$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.26	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.33per pick	46cpaid	-71.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	66cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ee…ebcbbacked Over	76c	24.72$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	79c	19.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	985	44.9%442 W · 543 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over	62c	18.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f52…3714backed Over	76c	15.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	54cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)US Lecce won
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Juventus FC won
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event