Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4449a42e6acfea37a126092551651ae3d791b5406f0b305e8a818880b8089f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 50c | 78,303$38,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,984.66 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 11,720$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.04 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 9,857$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 9,750$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.47 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 9,505$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 50c | 8,077$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 50c | 7,840$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 50c | 5,684$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.05 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ff48backed Under | 50c | 5,160$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 44c | 5,120$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.67 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 31c | 4,946$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.18 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 4,031$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 50c | 4,007$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 50c | 3,920$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 3,496$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 45c | 2,758$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 2,594$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.9 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,279$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.89 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 2,013$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.53 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 50c | 1,477$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Under | 51c | 1,468$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 1,367$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.64 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 1,221$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 50c | 1,194$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 43c | 1,130$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 1,095$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.27 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…cc9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 959.1$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.29 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 50c | 850.28$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.47 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 49c | 849.09$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 49c | 769.24$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 660.22$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 54c | 644.93$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.26 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 530$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 506.89$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 503.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 460$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 405.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 399.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 50c | 393$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 52c | 388$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 385.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 379.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 62c | 299.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 288.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Under | 44c | 274.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 50c | 221.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218d…83f8backed Under | 51c | 219.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 219.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 50c | 203.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Under | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 50c | 193.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 170.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 56c | 169.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 167$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.