TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed07…886abacked Under57c12,224$6,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,989.782045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.921030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c8,070$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.31,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c3,533$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.3958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over46c3,315$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.0138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over43c3,200$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82438748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7407631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.7710232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over43c1,920$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.385151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under58c1,584$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.767946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under55c1,405$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.7516144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Over44c1,189$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c1,040$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8759441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under55c872.68$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9718160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1712242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over43c604.65$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Under57c599.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.993961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under56c536.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.351752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over45c500.71$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.396253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over60c426$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.386852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285040%20 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over48c399.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9822647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…395abacked Over43c361.72$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.181936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over43c360.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.471776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.332330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over54c332.21$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716428.1%18 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under11c295.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0944…30f5backed Over43c232.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2b…4c50backed Under36c207.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c183.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3341238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c174.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Under36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.646038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under55c156.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5110648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over43c155.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.413149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Over43c150.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.587934.2%27 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under57c142.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.983426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Over42c141.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.351442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c137.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.461,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe7f…a659backed Under58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over43c136$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0815438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over42c125$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3513931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Under23c123.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.614533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under55c119.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.995653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0521043.8%92 W · 118 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over43c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.511750.4%59 W · 58 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Under56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9910647.2%50 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.915855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.894153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8920655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.254540%18 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4291…b6bdbacked Under58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…0f49backed Under58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c30…186dbacked Under36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over45c62.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2210039%39 W · 61 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.144542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.564065%26 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c37…2994backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1597…4a99backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b8…0469backed Over45c51.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+189.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f1c…dc61backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Over42c45.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Under56c44.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.132250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253740.5%15 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-32%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Under58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under58c42.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.636238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc0…489dbacked Over43c40.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b8…9e37backed Under58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x854c…a964backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cee…1ac0backed Over46c35.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.885257.7%30 W · 22 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+31.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36f6…db6bbacked Over43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…0742backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf812…52aebacked Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.