TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f09…9312backed Over45c10,746$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.982524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c7,441$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.5717530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under71c5,512$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c5,200$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.5690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Over36c4,896$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.333240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under55c4,567$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.278756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under55c3,700$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6651952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under59c2,892$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.074141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12528045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c2,245$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.94,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over45c2,149$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9673525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.967349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over23c1,969$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over48c1,944$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over16c1,751$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.949833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c1,668$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.353,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c1,640$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.4582844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Under75c1,286$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.441181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e19…bd99backed Over50c1,277$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over44c1,262$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over45c1,243$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.325339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over54c1,062$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.724146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c999.96$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under55c999.89$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.953151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over58c974.8$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.3811120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over45c967$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c848.12$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.2913151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over46c841.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.045143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c691.35$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.111,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c619.76$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.431,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c573.64$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over15c487.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.07933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c478$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.14334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under45c459.41$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.966950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under55c454.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.326261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c445.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1198833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under65c439.29$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.811,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under49c424.58$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.039851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over35c409.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.267440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Over44c391.95$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under56c389.44$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.355461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under55c369.36$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.214344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under55c365$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.256657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c364.17$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3941351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Under56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.991080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.994250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over35c333.38$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.134035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under61c320.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c315.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over42c311.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.869443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over45c311.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over50c306.48$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.243237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over45c285.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.615451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under69c266.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.441,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Under56c261.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under56c260.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.751464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under67c244.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.752850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over55c229.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4922350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c2…85f2backed Under48c222.04$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x154b…c63dbacked Over45c219.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.643458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over45c218.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.343534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9015344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.943740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0310343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over49c177.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Under56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Under79c168.73$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.434454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over56c153.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.676852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c152.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6561557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over32c149.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under55c148.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0811736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under66c147.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7633161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over45c145.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.273345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over16c145.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.153831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over22c144.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.623215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c131.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5128138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c121.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.442,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over46c116.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under56c115.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.327850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c6…20f2backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c104.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1612445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over26c104.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5310127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over42c98.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Over35c97.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.972147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over59c87.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.73366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Under56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.255841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over53c85.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over31c82.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.937348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under59c79.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1720050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over40c77.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.851618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over25c72.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.156243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.