TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c6,327$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.044,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under41c6,076$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.6590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over52c6,032$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.2113645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under44c4,190$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under49c1,937$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.325339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over73c1,840$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over76c1,306$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over49c1,286$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.8311444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c1,186$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over43c878.41$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.81933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under30c819.97$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over39c741.08$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.0622939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Over72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c650$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over49c593.08$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.775343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over56c521.71$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.215166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over65c515.9$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.562766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over64c502.01$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.723161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c499.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9416149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.379833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c476.07$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.641,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over71c419.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.542572%18 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over65c391.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.061861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c381.14$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over38c380.05$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over71c359.83$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.352864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c270.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.522,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Over71c261.63$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Under55c259.55$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.324934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c239.5$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.178041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under29c212$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1822157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c2…85f2backed Under62c199.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over73c197.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.391662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under43c171.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over64c170$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.23339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under34c164.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c162.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4369750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…0de5backed Over71c159.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.913426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.723366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Over49c150.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5184…a654backed Over72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…2269backed Over43c124.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over39c123.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.43154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2334…69b6backed Over74c108.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.262544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c107.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.33,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over39c99.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over39c98.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2711741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Over39c76.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.987231.9%23 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over72c73.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.654052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over49c70.76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.343033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over48c70.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.733842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over45c66.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.66243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over69c65.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1199933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over71c65.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.864165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over59c61.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.543964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under26c61.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4920441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over67c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under41c53.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.46142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over38c44.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.912044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1422366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over51c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under50c39.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.014445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.933839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under32c35.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under32c35.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.310554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c34.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over46c33.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.295435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over71c33.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6912958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.748641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.353565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over58c29.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2427758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…c8c4backed Under36c28.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.036453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Over72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651450%7 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over62c26.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.184623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c25.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over60c24.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8720253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over72c24.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.885371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over67c23.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8116860.1%101 W · 67 L-0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.615354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Over50c21.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under60c20.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6117061.2%104 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.