La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x918b1fc6cce45c0c2f3938fecb1fd1b57b0a2ad74d0eb44bc1e44ee6094316d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valencia CFof RCD Mallorca, Valencia CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf009…43d0backed RCD Mallorca | 17c | 1,656$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked RCD Mallorca | 13c | 947.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RCD Mallorca | 12c | 846.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked RCD Mallorca | 17c | 475.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed RCD Mallorca | 15c | 299.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed RCD Mallorca | 17c | 285$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed RCD Mallorca | 17c | 190.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed RCD Mallorca | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked RCD Mallorca | 13c | 123.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked RCD Mallorca | 11c | 115.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…63dfbacked Valencia CF | 72c | 102.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed RCD Mallorca | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked RCD Mallorca | 46c | 72.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Valencia CF | 69c | 47.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RCD Mallorca | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Valencia CF | 32c | 31.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.