La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc060b715ce9cccd734d337c82aa5f773dd1d6d214becc29222a522d0c7a1a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 0c | 94,006$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 2,655$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.74 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 52c | 2,513$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 2,364$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.73 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 905.77$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.67 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.3 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 79c | 625.28$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.69 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 608.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.65 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 600.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 524.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.73 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Under | 12c | 514.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 65 | 12.3%8 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 420.04$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.34 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 70c | 392.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.31 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 311.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 14c | 284.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 18c | 279.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 47c | 255.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 10c | 242.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 13c | 217.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Over | 52c | 186.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 45c | 167.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 78c | 151.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 149.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 14c | 142.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 55c | 134.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 19c | 125.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 51c | 117.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Under | 68c | 98.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 24c | 95.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…ba8dbacked Over | 30c | 82.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 29c | 70.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 67.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Under | 80c | 61.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 72c | 59.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over | 55c | 56.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 56.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 72c | 54.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Under | 79c | 44.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 43.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 30c | 42.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 72c | 40.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 67c | 38.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Under | 79c | 37.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 35.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 34.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 49c | 34.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…9988backed Over | 48c | 29.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Under | 70c | 27.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 61c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 51c | 26.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 58c | 23.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e4…a092backed Over | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…f450backed Over | 54c | 21.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.