La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb34cf158a46076f440aa8f9957f62c520206a027297e1214bcc87ea436008c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,776$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 1,671$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.17 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 43c | 1,031$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.3 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 680.52$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.62 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 58c | 496.8$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 58c | 346.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 307.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 58c | 292.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Yes | 58c | 243.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 57c | 239.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 58c | 194.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed No | 43c | 172.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 43c | 171.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…c925backed Yes | 58c | 168.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 42c | 114.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 110.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked Yes | 58c | 95.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed Yes | 58c | 79.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 61.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 42c | 56.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 74c | 52.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 44.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 58c | 43.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 58c | 41.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 58c | 39.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Yes | 73c | 35.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…3cc7backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…1f16backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 43c | 29.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 43c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 58c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…dd15backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 58c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 58c | 23.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…fee3backed Yes | 58c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 57c | 19.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…5feebacked Yes | 58c | 17.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 16.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.