La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb439e7ebe5d71942fa9a6cb9b40a68a780ef7bc9d7e0d0298963daeccd29eae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 2,458$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 24c | 1,238$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.2 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 942.07$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.68 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 24c | 619.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 24c | 619.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 76c | 363$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 10c | 314.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 24c | 297.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 295.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 77c | 256.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 162.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 24c | 142.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 23c | 133.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…a654backed Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…0b59backed Over | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 77c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Over | 77c | 13.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.