TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under49c4,191$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.5110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under50c3,880$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9401457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c3,369$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.54,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe15d…6b8bbacked Over51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c1,254$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,110$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7765356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c1,050$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.913,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.7810820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c896.49$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.329564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over50c853.58$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.793441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over66c535.54$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under30c428.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4724344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over50c323.47$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.574344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c321.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7348251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under48c289.54$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.471747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…0de5backed Over76c268.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under50c256.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.032948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over52c222.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.752343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over71c202.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.632623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Over49c199.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9413426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.658041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c182.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8584144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c181.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3575751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under13c160$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under21c154.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.773215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over73c145.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over70c145$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c144.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8622446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c125.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3270050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under42c123.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5534044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c116.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Under24c112.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over77c109.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.183868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over50c103.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c99.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffd…fa8ebacked Over51c97.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c94.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4519358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.829050%45 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over68c90.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0610629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Over51c89.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.834143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4861…9acfbacked Over51c82.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over51c82.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.684445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under50c77.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.89634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over55c68.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7617663.1%111 W · 65 L+32.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under22c64.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over77c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7321457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba37…dedcbacked Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0820857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over64c58.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c53.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.851,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2516865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c46.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0422366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c44.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.612,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad8…c6e1backed Over52c42.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4210851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over60c39.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7643250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over51c38.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.996352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.656437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.658641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over51c38.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.645263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9332444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.936453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under37c35.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2087…62a4backed Under49c34.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Over51c34.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.032944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over50c31.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5427653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over63c26.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8820253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over51c23.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.417949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e4…a092backed Over72c21.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under49c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45b2…f450backed Over50c20.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over51c20.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9926154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Under50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over51c19.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over77c17.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.122263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.