La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ec942906a130fa7e4c9b3fc040c0331a7e6f47abf6f6d7bc2653583fc7a725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,247$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 3,147$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.02 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,189$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 64c | 2,008$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.94 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 25c | 1,731$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 1,513$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 66c | 1,197$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 41c | 1,059$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 72c | 1,024$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 29c | 825.34$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.99 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 683.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.53 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 42c | 673.68$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.73 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 41c | 602.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.28 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 32c | 509.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 66c | 492.5$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 421.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 64c | 397.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 42c | 367.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 71c | 326.97$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.12 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 29c | 287.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 34c | 283.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under | 57c | 255.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Under | 71c | 199.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 28c | 192.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 28c | 186.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 72c | 177.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…9d7fbacked Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Over | 43c | 166.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…8aeabacked Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 137.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…490bbacked Under | 56c | 97.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 88.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 76.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 67.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…5f62backed Under | 71c | 65.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 61.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Under | 48c | 61.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 51.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Under | 59c | 49.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…636cbacked Under | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 40c | 45.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Over | 30c | 41.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 54c | 37.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 37.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Under | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 42c | 27.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 58c | 20.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 69c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 72c | 19.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.