La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eaf9d031305d1d97635d7bb674a529f653fa5bd87d7dfaca09382922f54c14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 46c | 17,907$8,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,203.07 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 8,348$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 46c | 7,532$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 2,809$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.48 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 46c | 1,916$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.94 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 40c | 1,434$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 7c | 1,292$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 1,259$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 46c | 1,247$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,055$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.43 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 48c | 976.99$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 74c | 950.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 622.51$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…4020backed Over | 12c | 593.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 8c | 347.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 333.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 38c | 312.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 7c | 270.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed Over | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 5c | 232.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 57c | 210.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 56c | 166.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 34c | 144.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 58c | 143.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 51c | 136.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…54cdbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Over | 39c | 121.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 109.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Over | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 99.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 30c | 96.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 58c | 93.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 36c | 81.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 16c | 78.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Over | 27c | 70.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 56c | 58.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 52c | 53.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…a9aabacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 65c | 38.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Under | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 39c | 36.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 55c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…af82backed Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…5a26backed Under | 65c | 23.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 56c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 57c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 64c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.