La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd7881c0579aa2a37fd986fdd2af7508c52e250b4f35f995eac7b016ff9d850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Sevilla FC, Villarreal CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf917…db57backed Sevilla FC | 3c | 1,470$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Sevilla FC | 4c | 994.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5d…16febacked Sevilla FC | 3c | 985$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…d1c7backed Sevilla FC | 3c | 985$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…3741backed Sevilla FC | 3c | 980$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a08…7328backed Sevilla FC | 3c | 980$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…ff21backed Sevilla FC | 2c | 980$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…009ebacked Sevilla FC | 3c | 980$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…57efbacked Sevilla FC | 2c | 977$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…3cc7backed Sevilla FC | 2c | 957$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…c919backed Sevilla FC | 2c | 837$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7ea5backed Sevilla FC | 2c | 823$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…7febbacked Sevilla FC | 2c | 761$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…f955backed Sevilla FC | 2c | 706$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…372bbacked Sevilla FC | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…6190backed Sevilla FC | 3c | 495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.