TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over47c13,614$6,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,215.661560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over51c9,810$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.916045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c7,884$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.548141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c5,285$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.576465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over49c5,105$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.724447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over48c4,606$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3952055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under52c4,174$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.632650%13 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under53c3,739$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.382015%3 W · 17 L-6.7wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-67.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Under63c3,553$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.37988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c3,037$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.547443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c2,188$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.5329855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,136$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.463,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over49c2,018$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.584461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over43c1,610$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2911142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c1,605$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.6217247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c1,457$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.582,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15472.1%1 W · 46 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c1,162$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.164043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1c…44fbbacked Under52c1,130$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under52c1,121$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c1,077$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.0815747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over65c797.01$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.571,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c729.3$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.482951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Under54c659.16$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c605.38$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8521355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c605.38$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8518644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c599.8$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.94445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under53c583.08$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c551.49$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.2922047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c544.11$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8369851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over49c494.39$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3712635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c492.79$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1975142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.532532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c482.04$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.271,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c469.44$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1114447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.792030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c383.58$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.194751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over45c382.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.472050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.242250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under53c366.3$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1417852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c359.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.828755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c352.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1233938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under4c339.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over42c300$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.27032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over48c290.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1317055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Under56c289.78$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.391060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over49c265.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under53c256.7$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014726.5%39 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over44c232.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over55c232.05$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.73745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.582850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under53c220.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.113946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over49c203.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c201.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4443532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.97958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c195.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4512056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.887646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under42c185.16$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over48c155.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.66541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over36c146.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under35c138.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9521540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over49c136.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.683461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6bf…52e8backed Under47c135.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under53c133.14$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.565846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under53c109.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.383852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed Over52c95.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.782035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under53c91.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5215048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over78c80.23$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7155058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under54c77.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8110532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1419055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under53c72.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.638647.7%41 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4234655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over47c69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.571,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under51c66.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.943557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under45c65.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c64.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.631,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over31c61.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6727142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd20…069cbacked Under35c57.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over36c55.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8310648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under53c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over48c52.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.45339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under52c52.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.191643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2411635.3%41 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under53c45.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under53c45.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.272055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb006…3458backed Under43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under53c44.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4112346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299d…e85fbacked Over43c44.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c41.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0118554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over44c40.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.612941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.