Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3054e436502eb7d65504c77287c0c9c59cd0acd16f19d07c14b8160039c84392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 32c | 1,918$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,523$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.48 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed No | 38c | 1,449$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,225$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 61c | 1,004$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.36 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 71c | 704.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 660.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.43 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 454.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…bdfcbacked Yes | 71c | 304.47$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 31c | 194.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 160.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 68c | 157.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 138.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 71c | 138.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 123.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 71c | 105.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…c2f5backed No | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 68c | 90.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 29c | 72.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 31c | 47.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 74c | 46.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 70c | 31.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…1c52backed Yes | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Yes | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 38c | 26.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…e4e8backed Yes | 70c | 25.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 22.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 71c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Yes | 68c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 68c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.