Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa23b0e59282b625dab585ec8e0a4c1521b282a3a4e498c954f237305af05eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 10,167$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 9,028$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.81 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 70c | 2,237$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.8 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Over | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 2,050$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 1,739$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.02 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Over | 70c | 1,526$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 1,422$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 70c | 965.11$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 32c | 959.2$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 799.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 655.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 630.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 630$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 30c | 558$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 546.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 30c | 473.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 435.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 70c | 392.8$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 78c | 356.4$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 66c | 311.68$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Under | 32c | 305.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 30c | 303.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 30c | 302$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 34c | 301.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 15c | 284.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 268.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 8c | 234.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 234.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 214.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 35c | 207.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 69c | 196.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Under | 20c | 190.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…bcfbbacked Under | 21c | 183.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 69c | 170.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 169.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 69c | 144.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 70c | 140.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 30c | 113.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Over | 62c | 108.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 91.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 67c | 86.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 70c | 84.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 66c | 76.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 72c | 66.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 28c | 54.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 61c | 40.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 69c | 31.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Under | 35c | 31.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 78c | 28.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 70c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 75c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Over | 70c | 17.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Over | 66c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.