Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c18728c51e7816b3db8818ab11a2f72273dbed4f5eb8a018e49da0bce17e2d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 2,628$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.15 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 66c | 2,145$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.33 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 1,763$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 31c | 1,704$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.4 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Under | 32c | 1,499$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 37c | 1,164$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 1c | 1,082$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 1,067$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.65 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 872.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 61c | 776.46$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…b754backed Under | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 661.44$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.05 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 79c | 650$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 61c | 488.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 33c | 479.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 8c | 414.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…cbb4backed Over | 54c | 361.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Over | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 295.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…77fbbacked Over | 62c | 289.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 29c | 267.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 55c | 251.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 67c | 250.72$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 225.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 66c | 212.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 191.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 71c | 189.64$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 67c | 183.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 59c | 164.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 67c | 153.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 152.95$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 77c | 145.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…3aa6backed Under | 61c | 128.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 124.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 72c | 120.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 116.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 113.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 44c | 112.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 72c | 95.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 69c | 95.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 72c | 90.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 86.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 31c | 86.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 70c | 83.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 75c | 71.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 69.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 73c | 67.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 58.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 54.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 54c | 54.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 54c | 51.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 43.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 59c | 41.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Over | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 39.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 71c | 39.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 67c | 37.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 56c | 33.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 71c | 31.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 29.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 34c | 29.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 34c | 29.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 34c | 29.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 34c | 29.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 51c | 28.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 26.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2b…1510backed Under | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 42c | 23.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0c7cbacked Over | 80c | 19.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Over | 68c | 17.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 63c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 69c | 14.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.