Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9ff401eb6204bca7fe7f4f8e212b7d6a63074d07eae7d6e79f6ae0a50ee97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 17,725$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330.24 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 12,560$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 47c | 10,640$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.8 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 10,384$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.43 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 48c | 6,576$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.47 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 50c | 5,244$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 50c | 5,215$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 53c | 4,908$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.57 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 52c | 3,834$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 53c | 3,771$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 48c | 3,083$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 2,929$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.96 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 52c | 2,639$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 53c | 2,131$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 2,128$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.15 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 2,039$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.37 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 11c | 2,018$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 60c | 1,951$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 53c | 1,373$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 1,297$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 991.23$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.62 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 905.53$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 843.61$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.41 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Under | 61c | 805.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 785.58$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 780.53$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.49 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 7c | 723.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 706.25$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.24 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 606.5$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.25 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 592.21$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 502.31$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Over | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 50c | 493.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 485.38$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.79 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 477.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 56c | 469.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 406.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 397.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 364.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 54c | 361.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 310.55$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 40c | 305$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 293.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 54c | 291.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 229.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0bcfbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…ccfdbacked Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 44c | 144.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 48c | 133.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 61c | 126.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 122.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 43c | 97.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…9d7fbacked Under | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Under | 55c | 94.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Over | 46c | 93.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 92.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…ce01backed Over | 46c | 83.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 68.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Over | 48c | 67.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 48c | 64.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 61.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 18c | 58.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 32c | 57.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…1852backed Over | 46c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked Over | 60c | 48.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 53c | 39.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…026ebacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 50c | 37.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 51c | 37.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…0fe2backed Over | 48c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 29.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 55c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 69c | 18.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)FC Augsburg won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.