Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc630c154749beef989131ad8ef6160b456b3a46bc9435f3766d4aeb93d00c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcde…c5fbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 6,690$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.54 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 1,107$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 686.44$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 525.27$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 73c | 469.04$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 27c | 344.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 343.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 328.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 75c | 320.68$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 25c | 306.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 25c | 299.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 239.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 25c | 223.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 186.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 183.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 180.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 74c | 162.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 72c | 161.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 148$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 139.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 121.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 98.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 94.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 77.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 74.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 20c | 74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 23c | 73.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes | 22c | 64.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…7af8backed No | 73c | 48.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 75c | 47.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 45.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 77c | 34.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 73c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 28.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 21.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 75c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 75c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will PSV win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.