Ligue 1 · resolved market
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24eb72e351ca9508195a5c5d8a08bfdf0141e47883ebdcc2b04098ec1cc04aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 3,264$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.23 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 2,838$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 59c | 394.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 4c | 331.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 318.18$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 259.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 257$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…4c2dbacked Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 77c | 164.28$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 80c | 103.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 57c | 87.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 36.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 18.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.