TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes10c4,450$465 inLost-$464.922035%7 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x837c…5771backed Yes12c3,808$474 inLost-$473.811421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Yes11c1,288$142 inLost-$141.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…c8c7backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost-$8050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…da4fbacked Yes10c826.52$83 inLost-$82.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes9c525.22$47 inLost-$47.272317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11ea…9e46backed Yes10c378.4$38 inLost-$37.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes9c378.16$34 inLost-$34.035437%20 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes9c367.66$33 inLost-$33.092626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd513…e249backed Yes10c362.63$38 inLost-$37.85728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4d…8ab0backed Yes9c320.81$29 inLost-$28.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes10c283.8$28 inLost-$28.382920.7%6 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes9c210.09$19 inLost-$18.919739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01d4…7beebacked Yes9c210.09$19 inLost-$18.91333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa031…ba6bbacked Yes9c210.09$19 inLost-$18.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f35…edbabacked Yes9c199.64$19 inLost-$18.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9f…feecbacked Yes11c146.29$16 inLost-$16.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55f8…f137backed Yes13c145.82$19 inLost-$18.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c96…8724backed Yes14c142.26$20 inLost-$19.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a71…f051backed Yes11c137.17$15 inLost-$15.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes9c136.56$12 inLost-$12.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x804a…9b39backed Yes11c129.08$14 inLost-$14.21717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2e…05cbbacked Yes9c125$11 inLost-$11.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df1…e624backed Yes9c113.45$10 inLost-$10.213040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ac…f8fcbacked Yes13c109.36$14 inLost-$14.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…426ebacked Yes35c45$16 inLost-$15.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.