TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,490 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40b4…1483backed Yes9c2,626$236 inLost-$236.352142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes12c2,461$294 inLost-$294.112035%7 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2e3…6417backed Yes9c2,108$189 inLost-$189.08714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…fdb1backed Yes9c1,003$95 inLost-$94.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c5…c8c7backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost-$8050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Yes10c959.82$95 inLost-$94.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes9c567.24$51 inLost-$51.053417.6%6 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc82…b3f2backed Yes11c540.6$59 inLost-$58.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Yes9c525.22$47 inLost-$47.272147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Yes8c519.64$42 inLost-$41.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes10c453.57$47 inLost-$47.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes8c424.53$34 inLost-$34.015437%20 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes9c367.66$33 inLost-$33.092626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x790c…75e4backed Yes8c222.03$18 inLost-$17.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f35…edbabacked Yes9c210.09$19 inLost-$18.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes19c199.71$38 inLost-$38.061414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Yes9c181.2$16 inLost-$16.311560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf82f…59bfbacked Yes8c179.99$14 inLost-$14.41315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-71%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0383…b5f0backed Yes8c169.57$14 inLost-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c151.36$15 inLost-$15.1488631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3179…8c2abacked Yes8c151.17$12 inLost-$12.09520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e8…2137backed Yes10c133.27$13 inLost-$13.2440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes8c132.27$11 inLost-$10.587635.5%27 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad50…6c25backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked Yes9c120.59$11 inLost-$10.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x804a…9b39backed Yes10c104.06$10 inLost-$10.411717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.