Fifa International · resolved market
Will Peru win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c65a656d45bcab1676842bb9385c90a56d4c817609074daee34d75d4db34426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 13c | 5,500$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.62 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 12c | 4,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…5e87backed Yes | 1c | 3,745$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 2,899$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…caa0backed Yes | 4c | 2,643$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 4c | 1,756$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 1,718$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Yes | 12c | 1,506$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 1,100$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cf…8aa5backed Yes | 4c | 1,039$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 962$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 10c | 884.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…afeebacked Yes | 2c | 809.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 799.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 12c | 738$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2b…596bbacked Yes | 15c | 665$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 591.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 566.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 13c | 383.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…441dbacked Yes | 15c | 331.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 14c | 258.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 243.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…c57fbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 8c | 195.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 12c | 176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…057fbacked Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 12c | 134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 12c | 127.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…bf42backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…f531backed Yes | 15c | 118.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…075dbacked Yes | 12c | 112.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…2e71backed Yes | 12c | 107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 22.2%32 W · 112 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…99d4backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 12c | 85.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peru win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Senegal vs. Peru end in a draw?No won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.