South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b750ea9a28cb02059e0c51c2d907eb601c3d98a3145428ab5540b329115acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 22c | 1,314$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes | 33c | 1,288$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 1,090$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.55 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 968.02$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.22 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 898.97$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 501.65$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 493.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 380$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 299.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 296.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bfcdbacked Yes | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 33c | 218.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 188.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 179.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 41c | 171.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 24c | 168.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 24c | 166.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 67c | 160.89$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 32c | 155.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 62c | 149.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 35c | 144.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 128.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 33c | 124.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 36c | 108.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 23c | 107.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 98.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 15c | 96.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 33c | 94.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 94.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 77c | 88.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…a65dbacked Yes | 31c | 87.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 34c | 80.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 34c | 79.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…d892backed Yes | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 59.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…71b9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 39c | 57.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 52.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…7720backed Yes | 29c | 51.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…0c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 48.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 79c | 45.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 79c | 42.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…cc08backed No | 73c | 32.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked No | 59c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 66c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 78c | 13.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.