South American Leagues · resolved market
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fef2bcba0dbb043ea69505ba24d5c8c7f5e6ac0e1537c8726da10946066282
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 2,777$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.49 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,399$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 38c | 2,342$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 1,333$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 25c | 896$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 877.51$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.19 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 472.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 429$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 62c | 321$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 235.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 172.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 163.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 69c | 161.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…fe34backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 144.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 33c | 136.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 118.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 36c | 106.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 101.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 66c | 96.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 63c | 77.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 29c | 71.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 69.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 68.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 66.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…7520backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 62c | 22.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 69c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-07?this page
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.