South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec597e6070a93e99ee898a345cd7e1115450aa8890018236f960564024829a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,695$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 29c | 1,436$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,093$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 990.69$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 29c | 861.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 767.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.13 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 570.77$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 32c | 543.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 459.03$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 348.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 28c | 346.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 72c | 291.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 282.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 262.22$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 71c | 259.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 23c | 229.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 31c | 222.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 29c | 197.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 29c | 181.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 72c | 137.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 32c | 134.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 73c | 109.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 93.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 56c | 83.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 80.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 77.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 67.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 27c | 64.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 32c | 53.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 46c | 42.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 72c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 62c | 28.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 46c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 58c | 25.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed No | 48c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 70c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…0f4abacked No | 78c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 72c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.