South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb982c86fc2eac9d4c6f3b58f8b0f118b0e1851b2f01894a6ade59640a7325db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 5,712$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 5,304$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 5,178$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 2,227$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 53c | 1,964$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.13 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed No | 45c | 1,934$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,723$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,031$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.66 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 20c | 1,008$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.35 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 56c | 865.17$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.93 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 23c | 858.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 712.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.44 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 701.77$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 65c | 690.53$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 20c | 580.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.32 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 43c | 559.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 46c | 479.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 55c | 432.01$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 9c | 377.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.46 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 56c | 347.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked Yes | 79c | 306.93$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 14c | 285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 78c | 262.72$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 260.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 48c | 252.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 79c | 252.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 79c | 234.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 79c | 222$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 209.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.97 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 8c | 203.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 21c | 197.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Yes | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 24c | 180.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 8c | 174$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 79c | 173.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 30c | 159.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 156.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 155.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 39c | 152.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…697bbacked Yes | 20c | 146.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +181.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3ddcbacked Yes | 18c | 140.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +467.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 66c | 125.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 122.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 23c | 122.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 79c | 119.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed Yes | 21c | 119.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 13c | 118.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 50c | 117.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 116.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 80c | 115.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 14c | 108.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…1ab8backed Yes | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 96.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 80c | 92.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 67c | 90.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 84.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 80.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 56c | 70.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 62c | 70.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 48c | 68.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 29c | 66.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 79c | 64.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…8687backed Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 66c | 62.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 31c | 56.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…e8cfbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 78c | 40.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 54c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…33b1backed Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed No | 48c | 34.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…d047backed Yes | 56c | 34.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 51c | 30.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 77c | 29.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 79c | 29.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 49c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…d2cabacked Yes | 53c | 24.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 16.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.