Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b6adee96acdd3573dd345bc20d7e9051c8d242d8d566a0a792670e55e20ed62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 4,582$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 1,589$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 47c | 1,563$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.27 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 1,537$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.73 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 18c | 994.87$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 51c | 817.65$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 700.27$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 690.76$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.16 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 675.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 6c | 393.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 9c | 357.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 46c | 324.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 313.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 11c | 283.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 71c | 273.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 221.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Yes | 18c | 205.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 54c | 165.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 115.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 114.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 53c | 102.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 87.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 30c | 59.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Yes | 46c | 52.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 59c | 35.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 75c | 29.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 28.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…00b3backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.