Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07a34813c5b79f87d6e233066840d185d370feeb69955839c23e3b852f57d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 2,724$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.1 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 61c | 2,148$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.37 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 70c | 2,004$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.92 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 1,934$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.89 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 1,667$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.35 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 994.2$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.64 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 55c | 330.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yes | 28c | 266.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Yes | 80c | 248.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 71c | 246.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 12c | 238.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 49c | 194.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 129.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 32c | 98.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 50c | 97.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 84.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 47c | 83.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 81.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 18c | 79.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked No | 75c | 73.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 37c | 68.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 51c | 66.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 57.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 49.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 77c | 46.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 37c | 41.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 58c | 40.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 26c | 39.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e95fbacked Yes | 45c | 35.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed No | 77c | 25.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 23.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01be…00b3backed Yes | 62c | 23.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 72c | 23.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 78c | 20.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…570ebacked Yes | 69c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 66c | 17.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.