Cricket · resolved market
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f371b737591063c181316278d31cb3ad57b30e75bb28ec501b3e8025e0deb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Nepal, Vanuatu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Vanuatu | 19c | 621.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Vanuatu | 6c | 430.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…5c88backed Vanuatu | 18c | 395.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vanuatu | 13c | 326.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vanuatu | 13c | 271.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Nepal | 69c | 221.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Vanuatu | 21c | 220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Vanuatu | 36c | 175.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Vanuatu | 31c | 173$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Nepal | 67c | 138.46$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…a385backed Vanuatu | 45c | 125.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Vanuatu | 28c | 114.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vanuatu | 32c | 113.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Vanuatu | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nepal | 62c | 85.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Vanuatu | 39c | 81.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nepal | 62c | 76.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 68c | 70.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nepal | 63c | 58.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Vanuatu | 43c | 57.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Vanuatu | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Nepal | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Nepal | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…0096backed Vanuatu | 37c | 45.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…32cfbacked Vanuatu | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Nepal | 53c | 33.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vanuatu | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Nepal | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Vanuatu | 46c | 22.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nepal | 62c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Nepal | 65c | 18.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatuthis page
- T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu - Who wins the toss?Nepal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.